Supply Lines: Lockdown lifestyles

Supply Lines

The pandemic is sparking major lifestyle changes among lockdown-weary consumers looking to brighten their living spaces, spend more time outdoors, or even jump in a camper van and leave it all behind.

With earnings season winding down, companies such as Callaway Golf, Winnebago and Sherwin-Williams are emerging as big beneficiaries of the unprecedented shifts in global demand from people feeling boxed in from South Africa to South Dakota.

Yet surging sales of such popular brands have exposed cracks in some of their supply chains and raised a key question about the sustainability of the demand growth: Are these behavior changes here to stay?

Here are five companies that, according to transcripts of their earnings calls in the past few weeks, are hoping that's the case:

  • Callaway Golf. The sport has experienced rising popularity this year because it's compatible with social distancing and offers outdoor exercise. U.S. retail sales of golf equipment jumped 42% in the third quarter of this year — the best on record. A Callaway executive expressed optimism about future demand but acknowledged its supply chain is laboring to keep up.
  • Winnebago. Interest in outdoor recreation, mixed with an aversion to hotels, has driven stronger sales of motor homes and RVs. Winnebago executives say they're working through supply challenges to meet the demand. "Candidly, we view this as a competitive and strategic differentiation opportunity versus solely a headwind," CEO Michael Happe said.
  • Scotts Miracle-Gro. Gardening became a favorite lockdown activity as families sought to spruce up their yards and grow their own veggies. Demand rose so significantly that Scotts Miracle-Gro ran out of stock on some products considered key to its future. "We believe the U.S. economy will remain sluggish for the next several quarters and most consumers will still be in nesting mode next year," CEO Jim Hagedorn said.
  • Malibu Boats. The Tennessee-based maker of sporty power boats said it went from "full shutdown mode to unprecedented demand levels without skipping a beat," CEO Jack Springer said. Investments in inventories helped ensure production was maintained at pre-pandemic levels, he said. But there's been some tightening of supply chains more recently. "Our suppliers now recognize the incredible demand and are making plans and taking action to supply that demand," Springer said.
  • Sherwin-Williams. Home improvement jobs — or "what the heck projects," as Sherwin-Williams CEO John Morikis calls them — bolstered sales at the paint company. Lockdown and work-from-home measures saw many people "sitting around kind of bored out of their minds" wanting a change of home aesthetics, he said. Meeting this supply chain challenge is on the company's priority list, as is building inventories ahead of spring selling season.

Eileen Gbagbo in London

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Today's Must Reads

  • Trans-Atlantic deal | The U.K. and Canada are on the brink of signing a new trade agreement to replace the existing deal Britain has through European Union membership.
  • Buying spree | China's ability to keep selling more of its goods abroad means officials will be in no rush to rein in their strongest yuan in more than two years.
  • Passing the buck | The euro was the most used currency for global payments last month, the first time it has outpaced the dollar since February 2013.
  • Meeting demand | Unilever plans to boost sales of plant-based meat and dairy alternatives fivefold to tap growing demand for healthier and environmentally friendlier foods.
  • Canned heat | One of the world's biggest canned tuna makers expects to return to sales growth as the coronavirus pandemic drives demand for its food products from the U.S. to Europe.
  • Work together | The best strategy for the U.S. to counter a rising China is to partner with allies in Europe, according to a report from the Republican majority on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
  • Political tides | The chief executive officer of the world's biggest container shipping company says trade relations between Europe and the U.S. will probably become more collaborative under the presidency of Joe Biden.
  • Stephanomics podcast | Stephanie Flanders brings together former Fed Chair Janet Yellen, ex-Bank of England Governor Mervyn King, former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan and former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers to analyze the unprecedented economic response to Covid-19.

On the Bloomberg Terminal

  • Wind in sails | While robust rates and a global economic recovery can help support solid margins for Maersk, rates will likely move lower in 2021 as capacity constraints subside, making Ebitda growth challenging, Bloomberg Intelligence says.
  • Moving in | Amazon's most disruptive play in the drug-supply chain would have been to provide end-to-end services and logistics for plan sponsors, manufacturers and patients, Bloomberg Intelligence writes.
  • Use the AHOY function to track global commodities trade flows.
  • Click HERE for automated stories about supply chains.
  • See BNEF for BloombergNEF's analysis of clean energy, advanced transport, digital industry, innovative materials, and commodities.
  • Click VRUS on the terminal for news and data on the coronavirus and here for maps and charts.

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