A $1.7 Trillion Albatross

Bloomberg Equality
Bloomberg

This week's top headlines: 

  • U.S. President-elect Joe Biden has tapped experts on systemic racism for economic posts, in line with his pledge to build "a diverse administration that looks like America," but skeptics note his closest advisers are a traditional crew.   
  • As Covid-19 continues to rage across the U.S., a wide range of pandemic aid programs are set to expire, leaving millions without government support and threatening to hold back an economic recovery. 
  • Singapore is eager to welcome foreign firms and workers in its efforts to become a regional technology powerhouse. Its lack of equal  protections and privileges for LGBTQ people aren't helping. 

Americans owe some $1.7 trillion in student debt, a financial albatross that Biden is eager to slay. This week he called on the legislature to immediately forgive $10,000 for borrowers; he could cancel $50,000 by executive order when he takes office in January, according to Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer. "Student loan forgiveness is good, actually," New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez posted in a tweet that gathered more than 454,000 likes.

Writing off student debt could act as stimulus during the pandemic and eventual recovery. It could also be a boost to Black households in a country with a yawning racial wealth gap. As of now, Black students owe more, face higher monthly payments and are more likely to fall behind.

One  study called forgiveness  "transformative" for racial and economic inequality -- but the details really do matter. Some research shows forgiving $50,000 of debt would instantly boost a Black household's median wealth by 34%.

At the same time, cancelling student loan debt disproportionately benefits people who have gone to college -- the same people who tend to be higher earners. Households in the top 40% of annual income (more than $74,000) owe almost 60% of outstanding education debt, according to a Brookings Institution analysis of Federal Reserve data, while households in the bottom 40% hold less than 20% of outstanding loans. 

Student-debt forgiveness could exacerbate long-term inequality between those who have gone to college or graduate school and those who haven't, the think tank said. Other objections are political and philosophical. "Given the potential backlash, legal uncertainties, and potential for moral hazard, student debt cancellation by executive fiat might not be worth it at all," wrote Bloomberg Opinion columnist Noah Smith.

Biden's plan is more modest than the proposals from Schumer and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren. Whatever assistance is ultimately implemented, it'll add to relief programs enacted by Congress and President Donald Trump to freeze payments on federally-backed student loans until the end of the year. 

"This debt is an anchor on our economy, holding back entire generations from buying homes, starting businesses and families, and adding to the economy in ways that benefit everyone," Warren tweeted. "Generations of discrimination have left communities of color with less savings and intergenerational wealth--forcing them to borrow more for the same degrees. Cancelling student loan debt will build Black and Brown wealth and help close the racial wealth gap," she added.

Whether an economic or racial-equality issue, or both, it's clear that U.S. leaders want to mitigate the rising burden on borrowers. Another small bit of relief for students and families: The consumer price index for college tuition and fees rose just 1.3% in August on a year-over-year basis, the smallest increase on record. 

By the Numbers

Starbucks announced a pay raise for its baristas and other store workers. Employees elsewhere are increasingly likely to get relief from their legislators, or their neighbors. Florida became the eighth state to mandate $15 hourly pay rate and the first politically mixed constituency to do so. The success, over the objections of a Republican-controlled state government, puts pressure on Congress to raise the federal minimum wage for the first time in 13 years. 



 

Before You Go

  • U.S. business schools are matriculating more women than ever, with two of the top institutions -- the Stanford Graduate School and Dartmouth's Tuck School -- close to parity for men and women in their entering classes this fall. 
  • Deutsche Bank strategists proposed a  5% tax on people who work from home, based on the premise that working remotely confers economic benefits that essential on-site workers don't have. Others disagreed
  • The pandemic has not stopped New York's fanciest kindergartens from interviewing 4-year-old applicants, it's just moved the process to Zoom.
 

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